Assessing the implications of bioenergy deployment in the EU in deep decarbonization and climate-neutrality context: a scenario-based analysis - 2022
Article
In a new article we explore the challenges and opportunities associated with bioenergy deployment in the EU deep decarbonisation context. We look at four scenarios, which explore alternative mitigation pathways based on different emission reduction targets ~at least 80% emission reduction by 2050 compared to 1990 and net-zero emissions by […]
Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights - 2022
Article
In this new article we co-authored with partners from H2020 NAVIGATE project, we argue that scenario ensembles can bring new and more robust insights compared to the use of single climate change mitigation scenarios. This will require addressing key methodological challenges namely (1) pre-processing the ensemble; (2) selecting a few […]
Analyzing the Macro-Economic and Employment Implications of Ambitious Mitigation Pathways and Carbon Pricing - 2022
Article
The European Green Deal puts forward ambitious climate targets that aim to turn the block into the first climate-neutral economy by mid-century in a fair and just way. Getting there will require the large-scale transformation of the EU and global energy and economic systems through a host of regulatory and […]
Analysing the systemic implications of energy efficiency and circular economy in a decarbonisation context - 2022
Article
The Paris Agreement calls for a deep and fast reduction in GHG emissions. Recent studies show that circular economy can significantly reduce emissions by improving resource and material efficiency practices. However, most large-scale Energy System and Integrated Assessment Models used for mitigation analysis ignore or do not adequately represent circular […]
Policy modelling for ambitious energy efficiency investment in the EU residential buildings - 2022
Article
How can Europe reduce the energyconsumption and increase the pace and depth of renovation investment in the residential building sector in a cost-effective and fair way, while pursuing climate neutrality towards 2050? By removing non-market barriers, argues a new paper co-authored by Theofano Fotiou, Pantelis Capros and panagiotis fragkos. Adopting, […]
Global socio-economic and climate change mitigation scenarios through the lens of structural change - 2022
Article
A new paper has been published on structural change as a largely unexplored aspect of global socio-economic and climate change mitigation scenarios. Structural change can drive energy and land use as much as economic growth and shape mitigation opportunities and barriers. Meanwhile, stringent climate policy is inducing specific structural and […]
Energy Systems Analysis and Modelling towards Decarbonisation - 2022
Article
This Special Issue summarises the contribution from ten scientific papers published in the course of the previous months. The papers provide rigorous quantitative assessment of the challenges, impacts and opportunities induced by ambitious clean energy transition pathways that can help limit global warming to well below 2 °C and even […]
System-level Effects of Increased Energy Efficiency in Global Low-carbon Scenarios: a Model Comparison - 2022
Article
To fully reap the benefits of energy efficiency in accelerating the transition to low-carbon energy systems, economies need to design policy packages that balance emission reduction incentives on both the demand and the supply side. In this paper we carry out a model-comparison exercise, using two well-established global integrated assessment […]
Good practice policies to bridge the emissions gap in key countries - 2022
Article
This paper explores which good practice policies (GPPs) can bridge the emissions gap between current policies, NDCs ambitions and a well below 2 °C world in key major-emitting countries. These GPPs are implemented in eleven well-established national Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) for Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, European Union (EU), India, […]
EU ETS for maritime transport and alternative options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions - 2022
Report
In this new study with Ricardo and Trinomics we show how maritime transport can achieve emissions reduction in line with the EU climate targets and the Paris Agreement. Extending the EU ETS and boosting the demand for sustainable alternatives and low-carbon technologies are steps the European Commission is already taking. […]
Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change - 2022
Article
Temperature overshoot refers to the extent to which temperature is allowed to temporarily exceed a given threshold. Little is known about the additional climate risks generated by overshooting such temperature thresholds, its extent being a function of many variables defining how rapidly human systems can be transformed, including socioeconomic and […]
Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot - 2022
Article
Global emissions scenarios play a critical role in the assessment of strategies to mitigate climate change. However current scenarios are being criticized for featuring strategies that result in substantial overshooting of the global temperature goal, requiring in turn a long-term repair phase to bring temperatures down again through net-negative emissions. […]
