Global socio-economic and climate change mitigation scenarios through the lens of structural change - 2022
Article
A new paper has been published on structural change as a largely unexplored aspect of global socio-economic and climate change mitigation scenarios. Structural change can drive energy and land use as much as economic growth and shape mitigation opportunities and barriers. Meanwhile, stringent climate policy is inducing specific structural and […]
Energy Systems Analysis and Modelling towards Decarbonisation - 2022
Article
This Special Issue summarises the contribution from ten scientific papers published in the course of the previous months. The papers provide rigorous quantitative assessment of the challenges, impacts and opportunities induced by ambitious clean energy transition pathways that can help limit global warming to well below 2 °C and even […]
System-level Effects of Increased Energy Efficiency in Global Low-carbon Scenarios: a Model Comparison - 2022
Article
To fully reap the benefits of energy efficiency in accelerating the transition to low-carbon energy systems, economies need to design policy packages that balance emission reduction incentives on both the demand and the supply side. In this paper we carry out a model-comparison exercise, using two well-established global integrated assessment […]
Good practice policies to bridge the emissions gap in key countries - 2022
Article
This paper explores which good practice policies (GPPs) can bridge the emissions gap between current policies, NDCs ambitions and a well below 2 °C world in key major-emitting countries. These GPPs are implemented in eleven well-established national Integrated Assessment Models (IAMs) for Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, European Union (EU), India, […]
EU ETS for maritime transport and alternative options to reduce greenhouse gas emissions - 2022
Report
In this new study with Ricardo and Trinomics we show how maritime transport can achieve emissions reduction in line with the EU climate targets and the Paris Agreement. Extending the EU ETS and boosting the demand for sustainable alternatives and low-carbon technologies are steps the European Commission is already taking. […]
Net zero-emission pathways reduce the physical and economic risks of climate change - 2022
Article
Temperature overshoot refers to the extent to which temperature is allowed to temporarily exceed a given threshold. Little is known about the additional climate risks generated by overshooting such temperature thresholds, its extent being a function of many variables defining how rapidly human systems can be transformed, including socioeconomic and […]
Cost and attainability of meeting stringent climate targets without overshoot - 2022
Article
Global emissions scenarios play a critical role in the assessment of strategies to mitigate climate change. However current scenarios are being criticized for featuring strategies that result in substantial overshooting of the global temperature goal, requiring in turn a long-term repair phase to bring temperatures down again through net-negative emissions. […]
Climate action in the post-COVID19 world - 2021
Article
The publication presents some of the latest findings from EU-funded H2020 projects on how to accelerate climate action in the post-pandemic era and why inaction is not an option. E3-Modelling contributes in the discussion with key insights from NAVIGATE project on how inequality, energy demand and macro-economic development have been […]
Global roll-out of successful policies may help limit global warming to well below 2 °C - 2021
Article
Accelerating the global roll-out of good practices to reduce greenhouse gas emissions may help limit global warming to well below 2 °C. This is the main finding of the BRIDGE scenario, explored in the framework of COMMIT project, showing that it is possible to narrow the global emission gap between […]
Hydroclimatic change challenges the EU planned transition to a carbon neutral electricity system - 2021
Article
While the EU’s decarbonized system will be more resilient to hydroclimatic change than existing water-dependent portfolios, water availability and temperature are factors with potential negative impacts on the economy and the environment amidst transition to a carbon neutral electricity system. In this study we conduct a model-based analysis to assess […]
Energy system transitions and low-carbon pathways in Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, EU-28, India, Indonesia, Japan, Republic of Korea, Russia and the USA - 2021
Article
Using a range of country-level, technology-rich, energy-economy and integrated assessment models we present national low-emission scenarios in the above countries, including detailed representations of the energy, transport and land systems and insights on emissions, energy system and economic implications of low-emission pathways until 2050. We find that the low-emission pathways […]
Is green recovery enough? Analysing the impacts of post-COVID-19 economic packages - 2021
Article
As a response to the COVID-19 crisis, most governments worldwide launched recovery packages aiming to boost their economies, support employment and enhance their competitiveness. Climate action is pledged to be embedded in most of these packages, but with sharp differences across countries. This paper provides novel evidence on the energy […]
