Submission to the Global Stocktake (GST) through the NDC Aspects project - 2022
Article
Last week together with our partners from NDC ASPECTS we submitted fresh reseach findings to the second information collection window of the UNFCCC Global Stocktake. Our input is meant to help countries make their NDCs more robust ahead of the 2023 global assessment so as to achieve the 1.5°C goal of […]
Improving future travel demand projections: a pathway with an open science interdisciplinary approach - 2022
Article
The paper demonstrates how an interdisciplnary approach that leverages open data, data science, behaviour modelling, and policy analysis can help build more evidence-based, thus realistic, projections of transport demand and understand what actions need to be taken and how fast in order to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in the sector. […]
Assessing Lifestyle Transformations and Their Systemic Effects in Energy-System and Integrated Assessment Models: A Review of Current Methods and Data - 2022
Article
The paper was prepared in the framework of H2020 CAMPAIGNers project and discusses the failure of common modeling approaches to reflect (i) the dynamics and costs of demand-side transitions, (ii) the heterogenous responses of different consumer groups, and (iii) the structural effects of lifestyles on the macroeconomy. Through extensive literature […]
Updated nationally determined contributions collectively raise ambition levels but need strengthening further to keep Paris goals within reach - 2022
Article
The article analyses the GHG emissions and macroeconomic impacts of the new/updated NDCs submitted by 156 countries up until January 2022 under the Paris Agreement; and finds that they bring about an additional reduction of about 3.8 and 3.9 GtCO2eq on global emission levels by 2030 compared to the previously […]
Targeted green recovery measures in a post-COVID-19 world enable the energy transition - 2022
Article
This new paper presents scenarios that expore the medium- and long-term impact of the COVID-19 crisis and develops a Green Recovery scenario to analyze the impact of a low-carbon focused stimulus. The results show that a Green Recovery scenario, with 1% of global GDP in fiscal support directed to mitigation […]
The cost of recharging infrastructure for electric vehicles in the EU in a climate neutrality context: factors influencing investments in 2030 and 2050 - 2022
Article
To know how much investment is needed in EU recharging infrastructure in 2030 & 2050, one needs to look at at fast chargers. This is the key finding of a new paper published in ScienceDirect. The paper argues that in 2021–2030 a fast charging network will have to be deployed […]
A climate club to decarbonize the global steel industry - 2022
Article
Decarbonizing global steel production requires a fundamental transformation. Could a climate club that goes beyond tariffs and involves deep transnational cooperation drive the transformation of the global steel sector? Yes, argues a team of experts from NDC Aspects project in a new comment in Nature Climate. Read the full article […]
Assessing the implications of bioenergy deployment in the EU in deep decarbonization and climate-neutrality context: a scenario-based analysis - 2022
Article
In a new article we explore the challenges and opportunities associated with bioenergy deployment in the EU deep decarbonisation context. We look at four scenarios, which explore alternative mitigation pathways based on different emission reduction targets ~at least 80% emission reduction by 2050 compared to 1990 and net-zero emissions by […]
Using large ensembles of climate change mitigation scenarios for robust insights - 2022
Article
In this new article we co-authored with partners from H2020 NAVIGATE project, we argue that scenario ensembles can bring new and more robust insights compared to the use of single climate change mitigation scenarios. This will require addressing key methodological challenges namely (1) pre-processing the ensemble; (2) selecting a few […]
Analyzing the Macro-Economic and Employment Implications of Ambitious Mitigation Pathways and Carbon Pricing - 2022
Article
The European Green Deal puts forward ambitious climate targets that aim to turn the block into the first climate-neutral economy by mid-century in a fair and just way. Getting there will require the large-scale transformation of the EU and global energy and economic systems through a host of regulatory and […]
Analysing the systemic implications of energy efficiency and circular economy in a decarbonisation context - 2022
Article
The Paris Agreement calls for a deep and fast reduction in GHG emissions. Recent studies show that circular economy can significantly reduce emissions by improving resource and material efficiency practices. However, most large-scale Energy System and Integrated Assessment Models used for mitigation analysis ignore or do not adequately represent circular […]
Policy modelling for ambitious energy efficiency investment in the EU residential buildings - 2022
Article
How can Europe reduce the energyconsumption and increase the pace and depth of renovation investment in the residential building sector in a cost-effective and fair way, while pursuing climate neutrality towards 2050? By removing non-market barriers, argues a new paper co-authored by Theofano Fotiou, Pantelis Capros and panagiotis fragkos. Adopting, […]
